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# Shot Distribution

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## Shot Distribution
URL: https://pinflag.io/glossary/shot-distribution

> A shot distribution is the full range of outcomes — every plausible landing spot and its likelihood — that a golfer's swing with a given club produces, rather than a single expected distance.

Golfers usually describe a club with one number — "my 7-iron goes 150 yards" — but that number is really the center of a distribution: a spread of outcomes around it, with some far more likely than others. Two golfers can share the same average distance and have very different distributions, one tightly bunched and one with a long tail of mishits.

A shot distribution has a distance dimension and a direction dimension, and the two are normally analyzed separately since they rarely share the same spread. [Dispersion](https://pinflag.io/glossary/dispersion) is the specific measure of how wide that spread is; distribution is the fuller picture of its shape.

The shape of a distribution matters as much as its width for decision-making. A distribution with a heavy short-side tail behaves very differently next to a hazard than a symmetrical one does, even when both have roughly the same average spread.

See also: [The Golf Stats Worth Tracking](https://pinflag.io/guides/stats-worth-tracking)