# Going for it from 200 yards

From 200 yards in the fairway, going for a green 30 yards across with rough around it is worth 2.173 expected strokes after the shot on a typical dispersion, against 2.820 for laying up to 100 yards. Going for it stays the better play until the chance of a penalty passes about 32%; at one in ten it is 2.375.

## Key figures

- Going for the green from 200 yards with no penalty in play is worth 2.173 expected strokes after the shot on a typical dispersion; laying up to 100 yards is worth 2.820.
- The two meet at a penalty chance of about 32%; from the rough, advancing needs 3.420 strokes against 3.800 for laying up.

## Scope

- The go for it and lay up figures come from the site’s aim model with a stated green, pin offset and dispersion at 200 yards; the rough comparison is the published baseline.

Full page: https://pinflag.io/go-for-it/200-yards