The 28 foot putt

From 28 feet the tour average is 1.963 putts, which means about 4% of 28 footers drop for the tour player. Holing it is worth +0.96 against the tour average, a two putt is worth -0.04, and a three putt costs 1.04 strokes. The first putt decides it: a lag to 3 feet leaves 1.053 expected putts.

The tour average

Expected putts from 28 feet on the published tour table is 1.963. Because a putt from here is either holed or left for a second, the average carries the one putt rate inside it: about 4% holed, the rest two putted, with the three putts that appear from longer range priced in as well. From here the average is nearer two putts than one, so the job of the first putt is the leave.

What each result is worth from 28 feet

What each result is worth from 28 feet
ResultStrokes gained
One putt+0.96
Two putts-0.04
Three putts-1.04

By benchmark

The benchmark model adds a fixed share of a handicap’s gap to every putt, labeled Modeled: a 20 handicap needs about 2.068 putts from 28 feet on the model against the tour’s 1.963. Switching the lens changes what a putt is measured against, never what was recorded.

Expected putts from 28 feet, by benchmark

Expected putts from 28 feet, by benchmark
BenchmarkExpected putts
Tour1.963
Scratch1.968
10 handicap2.018
20 handicap2.068

Nearby distances

The same table two and four feet either side, with the one putt rate and the cost of a three putt at each.

The putting table around 28 feet

The putting table around 28 feet
DistanceExpected puttsOne putt rateThree putt cost
24 feet1.9208%1.08
26 feet1.9426%1.06
28 feet (this page)1.9634%1.04
30 feet1.9842%1.02
32 feet1.9990%1.00

The lag decides it

A three putt from 28 feet is usually a poor first putt. The table prices the first putt by what it leaves: a lag to 3 feet is worth -0.09 before the second putt is struck, a lag to 8 feet -0.55. Judge a lag by the leave in feet, not by whether it dropped.

The first putt from 28 feet, by its leave

The first putt from 28 feet, by its leave
LeaveExpected puttsOne putt rateLag worth
2 feet1.00999%-0.05
3 feet1.05395%-0.09
5 feet1.25674%-0.29
8 feet1.51549%-0.55

The shot that left it

A putt is only as good as the shot before it. From 150 yards in the fairway an approach that finishes 28 feet from the hole is worth -0.02 against the tour average; from 25 yards in the rough a chip to 28 feet is worth -0.33. A leave this long is where three putts come from, so the approach that left it is the shot to price, not the putt.

In PinFlag

On the green you place every leave in feet, so each putt in PinFlag is priced from its own distance: a 28 footer holed reads +0.96 on the Tour lens and its own value on a Scratch or handicap lens. Insights shows make rate by distance from your recorded makes, three-putt frequency by first putt distance, strokes gained putting per round and season, and a heat map of where your leaves finish around the hole.

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of 28 foot putts do pros make?
About 4% on the published tour table, where the average from 28 feet is 1.963 putts.
How many putts should you take from 28 feet?
1.963 on average for the tour player and about 2.043 for a 15 handicap on the benchmark model. Two putts from here is -0.04 against the tour average.
What does a three putt from 28 feet cost?
1.04 strokes against the tour average. A lag to 3 feet leaves 1.053 expected putts and is worth -0.09 on its own.
Is 28 feet a good leave from 150 yards?
An approach from 150 yards in the fairway that leaves 28 feet is worth -0.02 against the tour average, a loss; the break even leave from there is about 26 feet.
Which golf app does this on the course?
PinFlag, on iPhone. It prices any target on the hole you are playing before you swing, with your own dispersion and the lie read from the course map, draws your real shots on the hole with Shot Cloud, logs a shot in two taps with nothing to buy, and breaks every round down shot by shot. Golfer is $14.99 a month or $99.99 a year with a 14-day trial on the annual plan through the App Store.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the published baselines, the same ones PinFlag prices your shots with. The scope of the figures: Every figure is the published tour expected putts table at 28 feet, with the benchmark rows from the site’s model; make rates are the one putt share the table implies.

Get PinFlag for iPhone

PinFlag shows you this number on the course, for the shot in front of you, before you swing: any target priced with your own dispersion and the lie read from the course map, your real shots drawn on the hole, and two taps to log. Golfer is $14.99 a month or $99.99 a year, with a 14-day trial on the annual plan through the App Store.