Expected strokes, every lie
Expected strokes is the tour average number of strokes to hole out from a lie and a distance: 2.945 from 150 yards in the fairway, 3.190 from the rough, 3.250 from the sand and 3.990 from the tee of a 400 yard hole, with 1.626 putts from 10 feet. Each table has its own page below.
Every lie at a glance
The five lie tables at five distances. The gap between the columns is what a lie is worth, and it is steady across the approach distances for the fairway and rough and much larger for sand and recovery.
Expected strokes by lie
| Distance | Tee | Fairway | Rough | Sand | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 yards | 2.920 | 2.800 | 3.020 | 3.230 | 3.800 |
| 150 yards | 2.980 | 2.945 | 3.190 | 3.250 | 3.805 |
| 200 yards | 3.120 | 3.190 | 3.420 | 3.550 | 3.870 |
| 250 yards | 3.350 | 3.475 | 3.690 | 3.885 | 4.000 |
| 300 yards | 3.710 | 3.710 | 3.900 | 4.040 | 4.200 |
The recovery table begins at 100 yards and the tee table covers whole holes, so the tee column is what a hole of that length costs.
One page per table
Each page carries the full published anchors, the benchmark columns, four worked shots and the lie against the others.
In PinFlag
These tables are behind every number: every number PinFlag shows is one of them read at the lie and distance in front of you, before you swing and after you log the shot. The lie comes from the course map, the distance from the pin you placed, and the free calculators on this site price the same shot to the same figure.
Frequently asked questions
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Related
Sources
- PGA TOUR statistics
- Mark Broadie, Columbia Business School (Wikidata entity)
- How PinFlag calculates strokes gained
Every figure on this page is computed from the published baselines, the same ones PinFlag prices your shots with. The scope of the figures: Every value is the published tour baseline on the same baselines as the calculators and the app.
Get PinFlag for iPhone
PinFlag shows you this number on the course, for the shot in front of you, before you swing: any target priced with your own dispersion and the lie read from the course map, your real shots drawn on the hole, and two taps to log. Golfer is $14.99 a month or $99.99 a year, with a 14-day trial on the annual plan through the App Store.