Expected strokes from the tee
From the tee the tour average needs 2.920 strokes to hole out at 100 yards, 3.920 at 360 yards and 4.820 at 600 yards on the published table. At 300 yards the tee sits +0.00 against the fairway. Every PinFlag number that starts from the tee is priced from this table.
The table
The tee table prices a hole by its length: the tour average number of strokes to hole out from the tee of a hole that long. Par is the card’s number; this is what the tour field needs. It runs from 100 to 600 yards, so it covers par 3s at the short end and par 5s at the long one.
The benchmark columns add the per shot gap the benchmark model gives each handicap, labeled Modeled: Broadie’s published split of the strokes over the tour average, spread over stated shot counts.
Expected strokes from the tee
| Distance | Tour | Scratch | 10 handicap | 20 handicap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 yards | 2.920 | 2.966 | 3.431 | 3.895 |
| 120 yards | 2.990 | 3.036 | 3.501 | 3.965 |
| 140 yards | 2.970 | 3.016 | 3.481 | 3.945 |
| 160 yards | 2.990 | 3.036 | 3.501 | 3.965 |
| 180 yards | 3.050 | 3.096 | 3.561 | 4.025 |
| 200 yards | 3.120 | 3.166 | 3.631 | 4.095 |
| 220 yards | 3.170 | 3.216 | 3.681 | 4.145 |
| 240 yards | 3.250 | 3.296 | 3.761 | 4.225 |
| 260 yards | 3.450 | 3.496 | 3.961 | 4.425 |
| 280 yards | 3.650 | 3.696 | 4.161 | 4.625 |
| 300 yards | 3.710 | 3.756 | 4.221 | 4.685 |
| 320 yards | 3.790 | 3.836 | 4.301 | 4.765 |
| 340 yards | 3.860 | 3.906 | 4.371 | 4.835 |
| 360 yards | 3.920 | 3.966 | 4.431 | 4.895 |
| 380 yards | 3.960 | 4.006 | 4.471 | 4.935 |
| 400 yards | 3.990 | 4.036 | 4.501 | 4.965 |
| 420 yards | 4.020 | 4.066 | 4.531 | 4.995 |
| 440 yards | 4.080 | 4.126 | 4.591 | 5.055 |
| 460 yards | 4.170 | 4.216 | 4.681 | 5.145 |
| 480 yards | 4.280 | 4.326 | 4.791 | 5.255 |
| 500 yards | 4.410 | 4.456 | 4.921 | 5.385 |
| 520 yards | 4.540 | 4.586 | 5.051 | 5.515 |
| 540 yards | 4.650 | 4.696 | 5.161 | 5.625 |
| 560 yards | 4.740 | 4.786 | 5.251 | 5.715 |
| 580 yards | 4.790 | 4.836 | 5.301 | 5.765 |
| 600 yards | 4.820 | 4.866 | 5.331 | 5.795 |
Reading it
Strokes gained for a shot is the expected strokes where it started minus the expected strokes where it finished, minus the strokes taken. Four shots from this lie, worked through on the same tables the app prices your shots with.
Shots from the tee, worked
| Shot | Before | After | Strokes | Gained |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drive, 420 yard tee to fairway at 155 | 4.020 | 2.963 | 1 | +0.058 |
| Drive, 420 yard tee to rough at 155 | 4.020 | 3.210 | 1 | -0.190 |
| Par 3 tee shot, 180 yards to 20 feet | 3.050 | 1.878 | 1 | +0.172 |
| Tee shot into water, drop in rough at 200, penalty | 4.020 | 3.420 | 2 | -1.400 |
Against the other lies
The same distance from the tee and from the lies a shot from here is usually weighed against.
The tee against other lies
| Distance | Tee | Fairway |
|---|---|---|
| 150 yards | 2.980 | 2.945 |
| 300 yards | 3.710 | 3.710 |
| 450 yards | 4.125 | 3.710 |
Where it starts and ends
The published tee table runs from 100 yards to 600 yards. Inside the first anchor the value is held at 2.920 and beyond the last at 4.820, which the calculators and the app state rather than invent a number the source does not carry. Par 3 tee shots are priced from this table too, and filed under approach.
In PinFlag
PinFlag reads the lie from the course map, so a shot from the tee is priced from this table without you typing a thing: the target you are considering is priced from it before you swing, with your own dispersion, and the shot you log is graded from it afterwards.
Frequently asked questions
What is the expected strokes from the tee at 300 yards?
How is a shot from the tee priced in strokes gained?
Where does the tee table come from?
What happens outside 100 yards to 600 yards?
Which golf app does this on the course?
Related
Sources
- PGA TOUR statistics
- Mark Broadie, Columbia Business School (Wikidata entity)
- How PinFlag calculates strokes gained
Every figure on this page is computed from the published baselines, the same ones PinFlag prices your shots with. The scope of the figures: Every value is the published tour baseline for the tee, with the benchmark columns from the site’s model; the table is held at its ends outside 100 yards to 600 yards.
Get PinFlag for iPhone
PinFlag shows you this number on the course, for the shot in front of you, before you swing: any target priced with your own dispersion and the lie read from the course map, your real shots drawn on the hole, and two taps to log. Golfer is $14.99 a month or $99.99 a year, with a 14-day trial on the annual plan through the App Store.